Between 2020 and 2022, venture capital deployed more money than any period in history.
The power law guarantees most of it will never come back.
But here's what no one is saying out loud: the companies aren't dead. They're stuck.
Real products. Real revenue. Real customers. Trapped inside capital structures built for a world that no longer exists.
Startup shutdowns hit record highs in 2024 — 58% YoY increase. Every fund vintage produces more stranded companies than winners. Every year. Forever.
Sources: Carta, Crunchbase, Harvard Business School
Bridging a "loser" drags down IRR and signals defeat to LPs. They'd rather let it die quietly.
Too small, no EBITDA, cap tables are a mess. Doesn't fit the model.
Can't raise. Can't sell — preferences eat the proceeds. Can't quit — employees and customers depend on them.
Capital is frozen. Talent is stuck. Value is decaying. And no one is doing anything about it.
These aren't failures.
They're $2-5M ARR software companies with proven products, millions in sunk R&D, and real customers.
The problem isn't the business. The problem is the capital structure.
The value is there. It's just stuck.
We're not bottom-feeding. We're unlocking alpha that everyone else has written off.
We're institutionalizing a strategy that today is fragmented across small acquirers, hold-forever funds, and ad-hoc restructurings.
LP/GP, 2 and 20. Familiar to allocators. Clean and institutional.
We don't just invest. We restructure, refactor, and run the turnaround.
Stranded VC-backed software. Too small for PE. Too broken for VC. Perfect for us.
| TAM | $100B+ stranded venture capital (2020-2022 vintages alone) |
|---|---|
| SAM | 3,000-6,000 companies globally in $2-5M ARR range, 18+ months since last round |
| SOM | 1,000+ U.S. software companies matching our buy box today |
The market replenishes every year. The power law guarantees it. Every VC vintage produces a new cohort of stranded companies.
| Player | Deals/Year | Why They Don't Compete |
|---|---|---|
| Hold-Forever Buyers Curious, etc. |
Handful | Buy outright. Won't touch messy VC cap tables or deploy structured bridge. |
| Micro-PE Aggregators Constellation, SaaS Group, Ionic |
20-50 each | Want profitable. Won't restructure. Won't negotiate VC preferences. |
| Turnaround Advisors A&M, etc. |
N/A | Bill hourly. Don't write checks. Advisory only. |
< 50 deals/year absorbed by adjacent players. 950+ companies/year with no solution.
We're not competing for deals. For most of these founders, we're the only call to make.
We don't buy cheap companies. We buy stuck companies at the price of unsticking them.
$4M ARR
($400K)/mo burn
35 employees
6 weeks runway
$3.5M ARR
$100K/mo profit
10 employees
Indefinite runway
Targets Met: Converts at $12M cap → ~6% ownership
Targets Missed: Converts at $1.5M cap → 51%+ ownership
Exit at 3x ARR = $10.5M
Even if ARR drops 30%, our basis is low enough that capital recovery is likely.
Trapped. Can't raise. Can't sell — preferences eat the proceeds.
The only path forward that doesn't require a miracle.
Every zombie drags down IRR and poisons the next fundraise.
Free option on recovery. New money in, board seat off their hands.
Traditional VC: long J-curves, binary outcomes, concentrated returns.
Venture exposure with downside protection. Faster distributions.
2019-2021 vintage funds with stranded portfolios looking to clean up
Every successful restructuring creates referrals. Stuck founders know stuck founders.
Hiring freezes, missed launches, founders updating LinkedIn to "open to opportunities"
See distressed positions before the market does
The Flywheel: Successful outcomes → reputation → inbound → better selection → better outcomes
Serial entrepreneur and investor. Deployed AI systems for Fortune 500 and US government agencies. Ownership in Anthropic, OpenAI, and Anduril.
MIT MBA. Co-founded Autodesk's Innovation Program, evaluating 800+ startups. Deep expertise in construction, manufacturing, and industrial AI.
Executes the restructuring playbook inside portfolio companies. Engineering leadership, lean teams, AI-native operations. Critical to scaling the strategy.
| Structure | Deal-by-Deal SPV |
| Check Size | $500K – $1.5M per deal |
| GP Economics | 2% management fee / 20% carry |
| Initial Deals | 2–3 (portfolio assembly phase) |
| Min. Per Deal | $100K |
| Target Hold | 2–4 years |
| Target Return | 3–8x per deal |
| Exit Path | Software acquirers & AI-native operators (3–5x revenue) |
| Fund I Path | Post-assembly: $25M target based on proven performance |
We are executing 2–3 initial deals via independent SPVs. Each deal offers full transparency into the target company, the terms, and the restructuring plan. Investors participate deal-by-deal.
Early SPV investors receive priority allocation in Fund I ($25M target), which will scale the proven playbook to 15–25 companies with an institutional operator bench.
Risk Mitigation: Revenue from day one. Cost basis is a fraction of replacement value. Profitability is within our control. Multiple exit paths. Even if ARR drops 30%, capital recovery is highly likely.
Post-ZIRP correction stranded thousands of companies at once. Largest inventory of quality targets ever.
A 5-person team can now maintain what required 20 two years ago. This strategy couldn't work in 2019.
Funds deployed 2020-2022 are approaching end-of-life. They need solutions. They'll send us deals.
First mover defines it. We're not entering a market. We're creating one.
2–3 SPV deals. Prove the playbook. Build the track record.
$25M target. 15–25 companies. Built-in LP base from SPV investors.
Scale the platform. Build operator bench. Become the default destination for stranded startups.
Venture capital will always produce more stranded companies than unicorns. RavenRock is building permanent infrastructure to capture this opportunity.
This is a category-defining opportunity.
Venture Equity doesn't exist as an institutional asset class — yet.
The question isn't whether this market exists. The data is clear.
The question is whether you want to own the platform that institutionalizes it.
Portfolio assembly is how you get in at the ground floor.